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Table 1 Studies included the TB mortality review ranked by case fatality ratio, 2010–2018 (n = 24)

From: A systematic review of risk factors for mortality among tuberculosis patients in South Africa

First author and design

Year a

DST pattern

Study location

Study population

Sample size

Deaths

CFR b (%)

Main risk factors identified (effect measure)

Pietersen [17]

Prospective Cohort

2014

XDR

Western sub-district, Cape Town, Western Cape; Upington, Northern Cape; Johannesburg, Gauteng.

Adult XDR-TB patients

107

78

72.9

HIV status; ART; gender; net conversion; net reversion; age at diagnosis; drugs in treatment regimen; mixed ancestry (HR)

Gandhi [18]

Case Control

2012

MDR, XDR

Tugela Ferry, KwaZulu-Natal

HIV+ adult MDR- and XDR-TB patients

262

189

72.1

CD4 count; drug resistance pattern; ART status (HR)

Kvasnovsky [28]

Retrospective Cohort

2011

XDR

Port Elizabeth, Eastern Cape

TB patients starting treatment

274

160

58.4

Age; weight; bilateral cavity disease; smear; previous TB treatment; status; year; ART status (OR)

Pietersen [29] Retrospective Cohort

2015

XDR

Western Cape and Northern Cape

Adults (≥ 18) with genotyped isolates

178

93

52.2

Weight at diagnosis; HIV status; Capreomycin resistance; TB drugs (Capreomycin, Moxifloxacin; Co-amoxicillin/clavulanic acid) (OR)

Marais [30]

Retrospective Review

2011

DS, MDR

Manenberg, Cape Town, Western Cape

Adults with CSF-confirmed TBM.

120

59

49.2

CD4; British Medical Research Council TBM disease grade (OR)

O'Donnell [31] Retrospective Cohort

2013

XDR

KwaZulu-Natal

XDR TB adult (> 18 years of age)

114

48

42.1

Gender; previous TB treatment; HIV status; culture conversion within 2 months; ART (HR)

Dheda [32]

Retrospective Cohort

2010

XDR

Western Cape, Eastern Cape, Northern Cape, Gauteng

Adults (≥ 16)

199

83

41.7

Regimen; previous TB treatment; HIV (HR)

Olaleye [33] Retrospective Cohort

2016

MDR

Witbank, Mpumalanga

Adults

442

151

34.2

Smear; HIV status; gender; age (HR)

Janssen [34]

Prospective Cohort

2017

DS

Khayelitsha, Cape Town, Western Cape

HIV+ adults with CD4+ < 350

60

16

26.7

Mycobacteremia; treatment delay (HR)

Umanah [35]

Retrospective Review

2015

MDR

Johannesburg, Gauteng

HIV+ adults (≥ 18) alive > 24 h of initiating Rx.

947

181

19.1

Weight; TB location; regimen; age; sex; CD4; co-morbidity; adverse events; other opportunistic infections; cavitary radiograph changes (OR)

Marais [36]

Retrospective Review

2014

MDR

Johannesburg, Gauteng

MDR TB patients in hospital

351

65

18.5

Diagnosis year; gender; TB strain; age (OR)

Brust [37]

Retrospective Cohort

2010

MDR

Durban, KwaZulu-Natal

Minimum age not specified (9.6% reported < 20 years old).

1 209

223

18.4

HIV status; previous TB treatment; mono-resistance (Ethambutol); year (OR)

Pepper [38]

Prospective Cohort

2011

DS, MDR

Cape Town, Western Cape

HIV+ adults eligible for ART at TB diagnosis

100

15

15

CD4+ count, 100 cells/mL (OR)

Lawn [39]

Prospective Cohort

2017

DS, RIF mono

Klipfontein, Cape Town, Western Cape

HIV+ adults (≥ 18)

139

19

13.7

u-LAM; gender; mono-resistance (HR)

Griesel [40]

Prospective Cohort

2018

NS

Cape Town, Western Cape

Hospitalised HIV+ adults (≥ 18), cough and one WHO danger sign

255

34

13.3

Respiratory rate; temperature; patient-ambulance; HIV status; BMI; ART; hypotension; confusion (OR)

Field [41]

Retrospective Review

2014

NS

North West Province (Platinum Mine)

Adult miners

4 162

509

12.2

Diagnosis age; diagnostic certainty; HIV/ART status; TB location (IRR)

Kerkhoff [42] Prospective Cohort

2016

NS

Cape Town, Western Cape

HIV+ adults; ART naïve or newly diagnosed

174

21

12.1

Hepcidin level; HIV status-CD4; HIV status-viral load; ambulation (HR)

Kendon [43]

Retrospective Review

2012

NS

Durban, KwaZulu-Natal

HIV+ adult in-patients on TB therapy for HIV-associated TB and adults on TB therapy at ART initiation

458

55

12.0

ART timing; renal impairment; inpatient initiation; TB site (HR)

Brust [44]

Prospective Cohort

2018

MDR

KwaZulu-Natal

Adults (≥ 18)

206

24

11.7

Age; HIV status; previous TB treatment, chest radiograph; gender; CD4 (HR)

Loveday [45]

Prospective Cohort

2012

MDR

KwaZulu-Natal (Specialised TB hospital, 4 MDR sites)

MDR TB adults (≥ 18);

860

97

11.3

Site; age (OR)

Seddon [46]

Retrospective Cohort

2012

DS, MDR, INH mono, RIF mono

Cape Town, Western Cape

Children under 13 years confirmed or probable TBM.

123

11

8.9

MDR TB; HIV status (OR)

Abdool Karim [47]

Randomised Control Trial

2010

NS

Durban, KwaZulu-Natal

Adult smear+ HIV+ with CD4+ counts < 500 cells/mm3

642

52

8.1

Integrated vs sequential ART (HR)

Churchyard [48]

Randomised Control Trial

2011

DS

Free State

Adult miners

1 302

104

8.0

Screening-timing at 6 and 12 months (HR)

Yotebieng [49]

Retrospective Cohort

2010

DS

Soweto, Johannesburg, Gauteng

ART-naive HIV+ children initiated on TB treatment

573

37

6.5

HIV status; ART timing; weight (HR)

  1. ART antiretroviral therapy, CFR case fatality ratio, CSF cerebrospinal fluid, DR drug-resistant, DS drug-susceptible, DST drug-susceptible test, HR hazard ratio, INH isoniazid, IRR incident rate ratio, MDR multidrug-resistant, Mono mono-resistant, NS non-specified, OR odds ratio, RMR rifampicin mono-resistant, RR relative risk, TB tuberculosis, TBM tuberculosis meningitis, u-LAM urinary lipoarabinomannan, XDR extensively drug-resistant; + positive, − negative
  2. aYear refers to the year of publication
  3. bCase fatality ratio calculated as the number of deaths as a proportion of the total sample size