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Table 2 Default standardized mean differences (SMD) assigned to unpublished studies with continuous outcomes

From: SAMURAI: Sensitivity analysis of a meta-analysis with unpublished but registered analytical investigations (software)

Outlook

Depends on published studies?

If the outcome event is desired (higher.is.better = T)

If the outcome event is undesired (higher.is.better = F)

‘very positive’

No

0.8

−0.8

‘positive’

0.3

−0.3

‘no effect’

0

0

‘negative’

−0.3

0.3

‘very negative’

−0.8

0.8

‘very positive CL’

Yes, depends on CL of published studies

UCL, pub,1-α

LCL, pub,1-α

‘positive CL’

0.5 SMD ^ pub + UC L pub , 1 α

0.5 SMD ^ pub + LC L pub , 1 α

‘current effect’

SMD ^ pub

SMD ^ pub

‘negative CL’

0.5 SMD ^ pub + LC L pub , 1 α

0.5 SMD ^ pub + UC L pub , 1 α

‘very negative CL’

LCL, pub,1-α

UCL, pub,1-α

  1. Note: ‘Positive’ outlooks favor the experimental treatment arm and ‘negative’ outlooks favor the control treatment arm.
  2. SMD: Standardized mean difference.
  3. LCL: Lower confidence limit.
  4. UCL: Upper confidence limit. SMD ^ pub : The summary SMD across all published studies.
  5. (LCL pub,1-α , UCL pub,1-a ): The 1-α confidence interval of SMD ^ pub .