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Table 1 Default risk ratios (RR) assigned to unpublished studies with binary outcomes

From: SAMURAI: Sensitivity analysis of a meta-analysis with unpublished but registered analytical investigations (software)

Outlook

Depends on published studies?

If the outcome event is desired (higher.is.better = T)

If the outcome event is undesired (higher.is.better = F)

‘very positive’

No

3

0.33

‘positive’

2

0.5

‘no effect’

1

1

‘negative’

0.5

2

‘very negative’

0.33

3

‘very positive CL’

Yes, depends on CL of published studies

UCL pub,1-α

LCL pub,1-α

‘positive CL’

0.5 RR ^ pub + UC L pub , 1 a

0.5 RR ^ pub + LC L pub , 1 a

‘current effect’

RR ^ pub

RR ^ pub

‘negative CL’

0.5 RR ^ pub + LC L pub , 1 a

0.5 RR ^ pub + UC L pub , 1 a

‘very negative CL’

LCL pub,1-α

UCL pub,1-α

  1. Note: ‘Positive’ outlooks favor the experimental treatment arm and ‘negative’ outlooks favor the control treatment arm.
  2. RR: Risk ratio, or relative risk.
  3. LCL: Lower confidence limit.
  4. UCL: Upper confidence limit. RR ^ pub : The summary RR across all published studies.
  5. LCL pub,1-α ,UCL pub,1-α : The 1-α confidence interval of RR ^ pub .